Democrats vs. republicans stock market

We find the data very interesting and will, mostly, let it speak for itself. In general, the longer the time frame, the higher the return. Also Measuring Worth notes ,. Observations from October 7, to July 30, are from the first DJIA and has been adjusted to merge with the second series. See Source Note for DJA. That was one helluva bull market and stock market bubble. President Clinton also presided over a huge stock bull market and bubble with the Dow peaking at 11, The Dow thus plummeted 38 percent from the Clinton peak to the Bush 43 trough.

We were forced to use the Dow Jones Industrial Average as it was the longest running time series.

Democrat vs. Republican stock market returns - Business Insider

The only reason we are all not living under a freeway and eating bark — i. Depression — is the heroic and decisive efforts of Team Paulson , Bernanke , and Geithner. As it turns out, the House actually had to vote twice for the particular bill in which TARP was included.

The first vote was on Sept. The legislation failed to move, though, with representatives voting in favor and against.

Of those who voted for the the passage, were Democrats and 65 were Republicans. We are going to post an interesting piece on the Hoover administration next week. Make sure and look for it. It banged around for about a year until the financial system suffered some major hits and the Fed failed to provide the necessary liquidity to prevent bank failures. And that angers us as much as you.

Republicans vs. Democrats [yfyrurusus.web.fc2.com]

Let his house burn down. What if the whole town is made of wood?

How should we change the fire code? How can we fire proof our houses? We have a fire going on. If we are to guard against ignorance and remain free, it is the responsibility of every American to be informed. It is a fact the stock market has gone up under Barack Obama. Not political opinion, but fact. Who are these people? Now Ready For Some Data Partisanship?

Health care battle cheat sheet: Democrats vs. GOP - Jan. 12,

You know we are fairly non-partisan over here at Global Macro Monitor. In fact, our party affiliation in our state defines us as,. Voters who registered to vote without stating a political party preference are known as No Party Preference NPP voters. The following table looks at the average of the returns of Democrat and Republican administrations on the Dow Jones since Teddy Roosevelt. The average return on the the Dow Jones Average return under Democratic regimes is more than double than the average for all the Republican regimes — That is kind of astounding given the popular perception that Republicans are best for the stock market, no?

Note, President Carter squeaked out a positive return, 0. Will the same happen with the Trump rally? The Dow is up 8. The incoming Trump administration faces the prospect of the end of the bond bull market and rising interest rates, however.

Stay tuned on this one. Interpreting the Data We could massage and nuance the interpretation of this data until the cows come home. With 8 Democratic presidents the market was up 8 times, down once and flat once. With the eleven Republican presidents it was up 7 times and down 4 times. But, when you look at the details, was Hoover responsible for the Depression or did it just happen to occur on his watch and would have happened not matter who was president.

Did Clinton cause the dotcom bubble or just benefit from it? Clearly the Obama economic team pulled us out of the crash, but did his policies turn the market around or was it just going to happen?

If you do the same analysis by who was controlling congress, whether it is divided or not, show a trend? Provocative analysis that raises more questions than it answers. It could lead to a very interesting analysis, the results which would be debated endlessly. Larry, the most important thing FDR gave was HOPE and he gave people the idea that he cared, e. Book club just read a book on the period.

Pacific Standard Time, lwagner mcn. Did W cause the bubble or were the market forces at work going to cause it no matter what? Thanks for your replies, Socratics.

Larry, I updated the data and the relative return is even greater for the Dems. I found a bug in the program that did not include TR and Taft in the average.

Many different ways to explain the differentials, but the margin is so wide the facts speak for themselves. Unless of course, all confidence is lost in the regime.

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Also Measuring Worth notes , Observations from October 7, to July 30, are from the first DJIA and has been adjusted to merge with the second series. In fact, our party affiliation in our state defines us as, Voters who registered to vote without stating a political party preference are known as No Party Preference NPP voters. There you have it, folks.

Let the debate begin. This entry was posted in Equities , Politics , Uncategorized and tagged Democrats , Dow Jones Since Teddy Roosevelt , Republicans , Stock Market Return Under Democrats and Republicans.

December 17, at 7: Really makes me think — which is a dangerous thing. Another way of looking at it is how many times was the market up or market down by party: Does that mean the Democratic presidents are better for the market than Republican?

Did FDR pull us out of the Depression or did WWII? Where was the market level in ?

Thanks for sharing, Gary. What do you think? December 17, at 8: On Dec 17, , at 3: December 18, at Leave a Reply Cancel reply Enter your comment here Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Email Address never made public.